Forex market analysis: 14 March 2025

2025/3/14

Investors are turning to Chinese stocks as a safer option amid global market uncertainty. With hopes of government support through economic stimulus, confidence in China’s market is growing. This shift is driving strong buying interest, making Chinese equities an appealing choice for traders looking for stability.

China50 index surges as investors shift capital to Chinese markets

Chinese equities experienced a strong rally on Thursday, with the China50 index soaring 3.87% to close at 13,738.

This marked a significant rebound following a period of consolidation. The index opened at 13,226, trading within a narrow range before a late-session breakout drove prices higher.

The surge was fuelled by an influx of hedge fund capital, as global investors sought refuge from the volatility in US markets.

Chinese stocks outperformed other global equities, with traders increasing their exposure amid growing expectations of monetary easing and fiscal stimulus from Beijing.

The breakout above 13,700 indicates renewed bullish sentiment in China’s stock market after a prolonged phase of underperformance.

Technical indicators reinforce this momentum, with the MACD signalling strong upward movement and key moving averages pointing towards a well-established uptrend.

Hedge funds boost exposure to China as US market volatility increases

Hedge funds focused on Asia outperformed their global counterparts, with Chinese equities leading the gains.

Industry estimates suggest that hedge fund investments in Chinese stocks have nearly doubled compared to the rally in September 2024.

This capital shift was primarily driven by uncertainty in US markets, where Wall Street faced heavy selling pressure due to concerns over aggressive trade policies and economic downturn risks.

In contrast, Chinese equities benefited from improving investor sentiment, growing expectations of economic stimulus, and a steady influx of foreign capital.

The Hang Seng Index and other major Chinese benchmarks posted strong gains, reinforcing confidence in the resilience of the region’s markets.

Technical analysis

The China50 index surged by 3.87% to close at 13,738, decisively breaking above the 13,186 support level.

Price action suggests a robust bullish rally, with the MACD confirming upward momentum and short-to-medium-term moving averages (5, 10, 30) trending higher, reflecting strong buying pressure.

While the steep climb hints at an overbought condition, momentum remains intact.

China50 soars past 13,700 as bulls drive a breakout rally, as seen on the VT Markets app.

If the bullish trend persists, the next key resistance zone is expected near 13,800–14,000. However, traders should remain cautious of potential retracements if profit-taking occurs.

A decline below 13,600 could indicate a temporary pullback towards the 13,400–13,300 range.

Market participants should closely monitor Chinese economic data, policy developments, and broader global risk sentiment, as these factors could influence future price movements.

With the China50 index reaching its highest levels in months, all eyes are on Beijing’s next policy steps to sustain market confidence.

For now, China remains a key destination for investors seeking stability amid global market fluctuations, with the latest breakout signalling strong potential for further upside.

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